Floodplains and Complex Adaptive Systems—Perspectives on Connecting the Dots in Flood Risk Assessment with Coupled Component Models

Zischg, Andreas Paul (2018). Floodplains and Complex Adaptive Systems—Perspectives on Connecting the Dots in Flood Risk Assessment with Coupled Component Models. Systems, 6(2), p. 9. MDPI 10.3390/systems6020009

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Floodplains, as seen from the flood risk management perspective, are composed of co-evolving natural and human systems. Both flood processes (that is, the hazard) and the values at risk (that is, settlements and infrastructure built in hazardous areas) are dynamically changing over time and influence each other. These changes influence future risk pathways. The co-evolution of all of these drivers for changes in flood risk could lead to emergent behavior. Hence, complexity theory and systems science can provide a sound theoretical framework for flood risk management in the 21st century. This review aims at providing an entry point for modelers in flood risk research to consider floodplains as complex adaptive systems. For the systems science community, the actual problems and approaches in the flood risk research community are summarized. Finally, an Outlook is given on potential future coupled component modeling approaches that aims at bringing together both disciplines.

Item Type:

Journal Article (Original Article)

Division/Institute:

08 Faculty of Science > Institute of Geography
10 Strategic Research Centers > Oeschger Centre for Climate Change Research (OCCR)
08 Faculty of Science > Institute of Geography > Physical Geography > Unit Hydrology
08 Faculty of Science > Institute of Geography > Physical Geography

UniBE Contributor:

Zischg, Andreas Paul

Subjects:

500 Science > 550 Earth sciences & geology
900 History > 910 Geography & travel

ISSN:

2079-8954

Publisher:

MDPI

Language:

English

Submitter:

Hélène Christine Louise Barras

Date Deposited:

08 May 2018 11:55

Last Modified:

13 May 2018 02:25

Publisher DOI:

10.3390/systems6020009

Uncontrolled Keywords:

flood risk; floodplains; sensitivity analysis; coupled component modeling; complex adaptive systems

BORIS DOI:

10.7892/boris.114755

URI:

https://boris.unibe.ch/id/eprint/114755

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