Mapping the increasing risk of human alveolar echinococcosis in Limburg, The Netherlands

Takumi, K; Hegglin, D; Deplazes, P; Gottstein, B; Teunis, P; van der Giessen, J (2012). Mapping the increasing risk of human alveolar echinococcosis in Limburg, The Netherlands. Epidemiology and infection, 140(5), pp. 867-71. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press 10.1017/S0950268811001221

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The parasite Echinococcus multilocularis was first detected in The Netherlands in 1996 and repeated studies have shown that the parasite subsequently spread in the local population of foxes in the province of Limburg. It was not possible to quantify the human risk of alveolar echinococcosis because no relationship between the amount of parasite eggs in the environment and the probability of infection in humans was known. Here, we used the spread of the parasite in The Netherlands as a predictor, together with recently published historical records of the epidemiology of alveolar echinococcosis in Switzerland, to achieve a relative quantification of the risk. Based on these analyses, the human risk in Limburg was simulated and up to three human cases are predicted by 2018. We conclude that the epidemiology of alveolar echinococcosis in The Netherlands might have changed from a period of negligible risk in the past to a period of increasing risk in the forthcoming years.

Item Type:

Journal Article (Original Article)

Division/Institute:

05 Veterinary Medicine > Department of Infectious Diseases and Pathobiology (DIP) > Institute of Parasitology

UniBE Contributor:

Gottstein, Bruno

ISSN:

0950-2688

Publisher:

Cambridge University Press

Language:

English

Submitter:

Factscience Import

Date Deposited:

04 Oct 2013 14:31

Last Modified:

23 Jul 2018 11:50

Publisher DOI:

10.1017/S0950268811001221

PubMed ID:

21733269

Web of Science ID:

000302371600013

BORIS DOI:

10.7892/boris.12117

URI:

https://boris.unibe.ch/id/eprint/12117 (FactScience: 218400)

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