Impact of the dry-day definition on Mediterranean extreme dry-spell analysis

Rivoire, Pauline; Tramblay, Yves; Neppel, Luc; Hertig, Elke; Vicente-Serrano, Sergio M. (2019). Impact of the dry-day definition on Mediterranean extreme dry-spell analysis. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, 19(8), pp. 1629-1638. Copernicus Publications 10.5194/nhess-19-1629-2019

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To define a dry day, the most common approach is to identify a fixed threshold below which precipitation is considered equivalent to zero. This fixed threshold is usually set to account for measurement errors and precipitation losses due to the atmospheric evaporation demand. Yet, this threshold could vary in time according to the seasonal cycle and in the context of long-term trends, such as the increase in temperature due to climate change. In this study, we compare extreme dry spells, defined either with a fixed threshold for a dry day (1 mm) or with a time-varying threshold estimated from reference evapotranspiration (ET0), for a large database of 160 rain gauges covering large parts of the Mediterranean basin. Results indicated positive trends in ET0 during summer months (June, July and August) in particular. However, these trends do not imply longer dry spells since the daily precipitation intensities remain higher than the increase in the evaporative demand. Results also indicated a seasonal behavior: in winter the distribution of extreme dry spells is similar when considering a fixed threshold (1 mm) or a time-varying threshold defined with ET0. However, during summer, the extreme dry-spell durations estimated with a 1 mm threshold are strongly underestimated in comparison to extreme dry spells computed with ET0. We stress the need to account for the atmospheric evaporative demand instead of using fixed thresholds for defining a dry day when analyzing dry spells, with respect to agricultural impacts in particular.

Item Type:

Journal Article (Original Article)

Division/Institute:

08 Faculty of Science > Institute of Geography > Physical Geography > Unit Impact
10 Strategic Research Centers > Oeschger Centre for Climate Change Research (OCCR)
08 Faculty of Science > Institute of Geography
08 Faculty of Science > Institute of Geography > Physical Geography

UniBE Contributor:

Rivoire, Pauline Marie Clémence

Subjects:

900 History > 910 Geography & travel

ISSN:

1561-8633

Publisher:

Copernicus Publications

Language:

English

Submitter:

Hélène Christine Louise Barras

Date Deposited:

20 Sep 2019 15:23

Last Modified:

28 Oct 2019 13:53

Publisher DOI:

10.5194/nhess-19-1629-2019

BORIS DOI:

10.7892/boris.133385

URI:

https://boris.unibe.ch/id/eprint/133385

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