Pattern of early human-to-human transmission of Wuhan 2019 novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV), December 2019 to January 2020

Riou, Julien; Althaus, Christian L (2020). Pattern of early human-to-human transmission of Wuhan 2019 novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV), December 2019 to January 2020. Eurosurveillance, 25(4), pii=2000058. European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control 10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2020.25.4.2000058

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Since December 2019, China has been experiencing a large outbreak of a novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) which can cause respiratory disease and severe pneumonia. We estimated the basic reproduction number R0 of 2019-nCoV to be around 2.2 (90% high density interval: 1.4–3.8), indicating the potential for sustained human-to-human transmission. Transmission characteristics appear to be of similar magnitude to severe acute respiratory syndrome-related coronavirus (SARS-CoV) and pandemic influenza, indicating a risk of global spread.

Item Type:

Journal Article (Original Article)

Division/Institute:

04 Faculty of Medicine > Pre-clinic Human Medicine > Institute of Social and Preventive Medicine (ISPM)

UniBE Contributor:

Riou, Julien Yannis and Althaus, Christian

Subjects:

600 Technology > 610 Medicine & health
300 Social sciences, sociology & anthropology > 360 Social problems & social services

ISSN:

1560-7917

Publisher:

European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control

Funders:

[4] Swiss National Science Foundation

Language:

English

Submitter:

Beatrice Minder Wyssmann

Date Deposited:

01 Feb 2020 08:40

Last Modified:

11 Feb 2020 09:26

Publisher DOI:

10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2020.25.4.2000058

PubMed ID:

32019669

BORIS DOI:

10.7892/boris.139715

URI:

https://boris.unibe.ch/id/eprint/139715

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