The Effect of Kyoto Emission Targets on Domestic CO2 Emissions: A Synthetic Control Approach

Almer, Christian; Winkler, Ralph (January 2012). The Effect of Kyoto Emission Targets on Domestic CO2 Emissions: A Synthetic Control Approach (Discussion Papers 12-02). Bern: Department of Economics

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We use recent developments in the empirics of comparative case studies to analyze the effect of binding emission targets under the Kyoto Protocol on the development of CO2 emissions of seven major Annex B countries. In particular, we investigate whether committing to a specific greenhouse gas emissions target had an effect on actual CO2 emissions of Australia, Canada,
France, Germany, Great Britain, Italy and Japan by using a synthetic control approach. With the exception of Great Britain, we are not able to reject the hypothesis that there has been no effect of binding emission targets on actual emissions.

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