Regional excess mortality during the 2020 COVID-19 pandemic in five European countries.

Konstantinoudis, Garyfallos; Cameletti, Michela; Gómez-Rubio, Virgilio; Gómez, Inmaculada León; Pirani, Monica; Baio, Gianluca; Larrauri, Amparo; Riou, Julien; Egger, Matthias; Vineis, Paolo; Blangiardo, Marta (2022). Regional excess mortality during the 2020 COVID-19 pandemic in five European countries. Nature Communications, 13(1), p. 482. Springer Nature 10.1038/s41467-022-28157-3

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The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on excess mortality from all causes in 2020 varied across and within European countries. Using data for 2015-2019, we applied Bayesian spatio-temporal models to quantify the expected weekly deaths at the regional level had the pandemic not occurred in England, Greece, Italy, Spain, and Switzerland. With around 30%, Madrid, Castile-La Mancha, Castile-Leon (Spain) and Lombardia (Italy) were the regions with the highest excess mortality. In England, Greece and Switzerland, the regions most affected were Outer London and the West Midlands (England), Eastern, Western and Central Macedonia (Greece), and Ticino (Switzerland), with 15-20% excess mortality in 2020. Our study highlights the importance of the large transportation hubs for establishing community transmission in the first stages of the pandemic. Here, we show that acting promptly to limit transmission around these hubs is essential to prevent spread to other regions and countries.

Item Type:

Journal Article (Original Article)

Division/Institute:

04 Faculty of Medicine > Pre-clinic Human Medicine > Institute of Social and Preventive Medicine (ISPM)

UniBE Contributor:

Riou, Julien Yannis, Egger, Matthias

Subjects:

600 Technology > 610 Medicine & health
300 Social sciences, sociology & anthropology > 360 Social problems & social services

ISSN:

2041-1723

Publisher:

Springer Nature

Language:

English

Submitter:

Andrea Flükiger-Flückiger

Date Deposited:

14 Feb 2022 20:08

Last Modified:

28 Dec 2022 14:31

Publisher DOI:

10.1038/s41467-022-28157-3

PubMed ID:

35079022

BORIS DOI:

10.48350/165127

URI:

https://boris.unibe.ch/id/eprint/165127

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