Pre-Crisis Determinants of Tourism Resilience

Roller, Marcus (August 2022). Pre-Crisis Determinants of Tourism Resilience (CRED Research Paper 39). Bern: CRED - Center for Regional Economic Development

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In this study, I provide a location choice model incorporating five pre-crisis
determinants for tourists' destination choice to study the impact of these determinants
on the resilience of tourism. The determinants are the kind of destination (rural vs.
urban), the pre-crisis origin country specific attractiveness of the destination, the
infrastructure size, the density, and the local culture. I estimate the effect of these
determinants on the recovery of hotel overnight stays during the COVID-19
pandemic in Switzerland. I find that urban areas had an up to 75% percent lower
recovery level. Half of this difference is due to their pre-crisis specific attractiveness
for international tourists. This implies that a miss-match between long-run local
touristic capital and domestic demand preferences prevents destinations from
substituting the missing international tourists with domestic tourists. While
infrastructure size affects the resilience ambiguously, density weakens the resilience
in cities. Culture does not play a role if there are no local COVID-19 policies.

Item Type:

Working Paper

Division/Institute:

03 Faculty of Business, Economics and Social Sciences > Department of Economics > Institute of Economics > Economic Policy and Regional Economics
03 Faculty of Business, Economics and Social Sciences > Department of Economics > Institute of Economics
11 Centers of Competence > Center for Regional Economic Development (CRED)

UniBE Contributor:

Roller, Marcus

Subjects:

300 Social sciences, sociology & anthropology > 330 Economics

Series:

CRED Research Paper

Publisher:

CRED - Center for Regional Economic Development

Language:

English

Submitter:

Melanie Moser

Date Deposited:

16 Sep 2022 12:26

Last Modified:

05 Dec 2022 16:24

JEL Classification:

Z3, R12, H12

BORIS DOI:

10.48350/172858

URI:

https://boris.unibe.ch/id/eprint/172858

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