Sovereign Bond Prices, Haircuts and Maturity

Asonuma, Tamon; Niepelt, Dirk; Ranciere, Romain (2023). Sovereign Bond Prices, Haircuts and Maturity. Journal of international economics, 140, p. 103689. Elsevier 10.1016/j.jinteco.2022.103689

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Rejecting a common assumption in the sovereign debt literature, we document that creditor
losses (“haircuts”) during sovereign restructuring episodes are asymmetric across debt
instruments. We code a comprehensive dataset on instrument-specific haircuts for 28 debt
restructurings with private creditors in 1999–2015 and find that haircuts on shorter-term debt
are larger than those on debt of longer maturity. In a standard asset pricing model, we show
that increasing short-run default risk in the run-up to a restructuring episode can explain the
stylized fact. The data confirms the predicted relation between perceived default risk, bond
prices, and haircuts by maturity.

Item Type:

Journal Article (Original Article)

Division/Institute:

03 Faculty of Business, Economics and Social Sciences > Department of Economics

UniBE Contributor:

Niepelt, Dirk

Subjects:

300 Social sciences, sociology & anthropology > 330 Economics

ISSN:

0022-1996

Publisher:

Elsevier

Language:

English

Submitter:

Julia Alexandra Schlosser

Date Deposited:

10 Nov 2022 15:13

Last Modified:

03 Dec 2023 02:11

Publisher DOI:

10.1016/j.jinteco.2022.103689

BORIS DOI:

10.48350/174653

URI:

https://boris.unibe.ch/id/eprint/174653

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