Rebel Recruitment and Migration: Theory and Evidence From Southern Senegal

Schaub, Max; Auer, Daniel (2022). Rebel Recruitment and Migration: Theory and Evidence From Southern Senegal. Journal of conflict resolution, 002200272211182. Sage 10.1177/00220027221118258

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We investigate whether the threat of recruitment by rebel groups spurs domestic and international migration. The existing literature on wartime displacement has largely focused on potential victims of violence. We argue that alongside potential victims, we should expect to see the out-migration of individuals who are attractive to the rebels as potential recruits. To test this hypothesis, we draw on original survey data collected in the context of the MFDC insurgency in southern Senegal. Causal identification stems from instrumenting recruitment threat with the density of the local forest canopy cover. Analyzing data from 3,200 respondents and over 24,000 family members, we show that individuals who fit the recruitment profiles of rebel groups are more likely to leave and be sent away by their families. Our paper contributes micro-evidence for a mechanism linking violent conflict to migration, which so far has received scant attention, and provides a deeper understanding of the composition of refugee flows.

Item Type:

Journal Article (Original Article)

Division/Institute:

03 Faculty of Business, Economics and Social Sciences > Social Sciences > Institute of Political Science

UniBE Contributor:

Auer, Daniel

Subjects:

300 Social sciences, sociology & anthropology > 320 Political science
300 Social sciences, sociology & anthropology

ISSN:

0022-0027

Publisher:

Sage

Language:

English

Submitter:

Daniel Auer

Date Deposited:

15 Dec 2022 16:13

Last Modified:

18 Dec 2022 02:07

Publisher DOI:

10.1177/00220027221118258

BORIS DOI:

10.48350/175913

URI:

https://boris.unibe.ch/id/eprint/175913

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