Revised historical Northern Hemisphere black carbon emissions based on inverse modeling of ice core records.

Eckhardt, Sabine; Pisso, Ignacio; Evangeliou, Nikolaos; Zwaaftink, Christine Groot; Plach, Andreas; McConnell, Joseph R; Sigl, Michael; Ruppel, Meri; Zdanowicz, Christian; Lim, Saehee; Chellman, Nathan; Opel, Thomas; Meyer, Hanno; Steffensen, Jørgen Peder; Schwikowski, Margit; Stohl, Andreas (2023). Revised historical Northern Hemisphere black carbon emissions based on inverse modeling of ice core records. Nature Communications, 14(1), p. 271. Springer Nature 10.1038/s41467-022-35660-0

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Black carbon emitted by incomplete combustion of fossil fuels and biomass has a net warming effect in the atmosphere and reduces the albedo when deposited on ice and snow; accurate knowledge of past emissions is essential to quantify and model associated global climate forcing. Although bottom-up inventories provide historical Black Carbon emission estimates that are widely used in Earth System Models, they are poorly constrained by observations prior to the late 20th century. Here we use an objective inversion technique based on detailed atmospheric transport and deposition modeling to reconstruct 1850 to 2000 emissions from thirteen Northern Hemisphere ice-core records. We find substantial discrepancies between reconstructed Black Carbon emissions and existing bottom-up inventories which do not fully capture the complex spatial-temporal emission patterns. Our findings imply changes to existing historical Black Carbon radiative forcing estimates are necessary, with potential implications for observation-constrained climate sensitivity.

Item Type:

Journal Article (Original Article)

Division/Institute:

08 Faculty of Science > Physics Institute > Climate and Environmental Physics
10 Strategic Research Centers > Oeschger Centre for Climate Change Research (OCCR)

UniBE Contributor:

Sigl, Michael

Subjects:

500 Science > 530 Physics
500 Science > 540 Chemistry
500 Science > 550 Earth sciences & geology
500 Science > 570 Life sciences; biology

ISSN:

2041-1723

Publisher:

Springer Nature

Language:

English

Submitter:

Pubmed Import

Date Deposited:

23 Jan 2023 15:39

Last Modified:

19 Jul 2023 00:25

Publisher DOI:

10.1038/s41467-022-35660-0

PubMed ID:

36650124

BORIS DOI:

10.48350/177606

URI:

https://boris.unibe.ch/id/eprint/177606

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