Deep Learning Versus Neurologists: Functional Outcome Prediction in LVO Stroke Patients Undergoing Mechanical Thrombectomy.

Herzog, Lisa; Kook, Lucas; Hamann, Janne; Globas, Christoph; Heldner, Mirjam R; Seiffge, David; Antonenko, Kateryna; Dobrocky, Tomas; Panos, Leonidas; Kaesmacher, Johannes; Fischer, Urs; Gralla, Jan; Arnold, Marcel; Wiest, Roland; Luft, Andreas R; Sick, Beate; Wegener, Susanne (2023). Deep Learning Versus Neurologists: Functional Outcome Prediction in LVO Stroke Patients Undergoing Mechanical Thrombectomy. Stroke, 54(7), pp. 1761-1769. American Heart Association 10.1161/STROKEAHA.123.042496

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BACKGROUND

Despite evolving treatments, functional recovery in patients with large vessel occlusion stroke remains variable and outcome prediction challenging. Can we improve estimation of functional outcome with interpretable deep learning models using clinical and magnetic resonance imaging data?

METHODS

In this observational study, we collected data of 222 patients with middle cerebral artery M1 segment occlusion who received mechanical thrombectomy. In a 5-fold cross validation, we evaluated interpretable deep learning models for predicting functional outcome in terms of modified Rankin scale at 3 months using clinical variables, diffusion weighted imaging and perfusion weighted imaging, and a combination thereof. Based on 50 test patients, we compared model performances to those of 5 experienced stroke neurologists. Prediction performance for ordinal (modified Rankin scale score, 0-6) and binary (modified Rankin scale score, 0-2 versus 3-6) functional outcome was assessed using discrimination and calibration measures like area under the receiver operating characteristic curve and accuracy (percentage of correctly classified patients).

RESULTS

In the cross validation, the model based on clinical variables and diffusion weighted imaging achieved the highest binary prediction performance (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, 0.766 [0.727-0.803]). Performance of models using clinical variables or diffusion weighted imaging only was lower. Adding perfusion weighted imaging did not improve outcome prediction. On the test set of 50 patients, binary prediction performance between model (accuracy, 60% [55.4%-64.4%]) and neurologists (accuracy, 60% [55.8%-64.21%]) was similar when using clinical data. However, models significantly outperformed neurologists when imaging data were provided, alone or in combination with clinical variables (accuracy, 72% [67.8%-76%] versus 64% [59.8%-68.4%] with clinical and imaging data). Prediction performance of neurologists with comparable experience varied strongly.

CONCLUSIONS

We hypothesize that early prediction of functional outcome in large vessel occlusion stroke patients may be significantly improved if neurologists are supported by interpretable deep learning models.

Item Type:

Journal Article (Original Article)

Division/Institute:

04 Faculty of Medicine > Department of Radiology, Neuroradiology and Nuclear Medicine (DRNN) > Institute of Diagnostic and Interventional Neuroradiology
04 Faculty of Medicine > Department of Head Organs and Neurology (DKNS) > Clinic of Neurology
04 Faculty of Medicine > Department of Radiology, Neuroradiology and Nuclear Medicine (DRNN) > Institute of Diagnostic, Interventional and Paediatric Radiology

UniBE Contributor:

Heldner, Mirjam Rachel, Seiffge, David Julian, Antonenko, Kateryna, Dobrocky, Tomas, Panos, Leonidas, Kaesmacher, Johannes, Fischer, Urs Martin, Gralla, Jan, Arnold, Marcel, Wiest, Roland Gerhard Rudi

Subjects:

600 Technology > 610 Medicine & health

ISSN:

1524-4628

Publisher:

American Heart Association

Language:

English

Submitter:

Pubmed Import

Date Deposited:

14 Jun 2023 16:24

Last Modified:

27 Jun 2023 00:16

Publisher DOI:

10.1161/STROKEAHA.123.042496

PubMed ID:

37313740

Uncontrolled Keywords:

machine learning outcome prediction stroke

URI:

https://boris.unibe.ch/id/eprint/183423

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