The regional economic impact of wildfires: Evidence from Southern Europe

Meier, Sarah; Elliott, Robert J.R.; Strobl, Eric (2023). The regional economic impact of wildfires: Evidence from Southern Europe. Journal of environmental economics and management, 118, p. 102787. Elsevier 10.1016/j.jeem.2023.102787

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We estimate the impact of wildfires on the growth rate of gross domestic product (GDP) and employment of regional economies in Southern Europe from 2011 to 2018. To this end we match Eurostat economic data with geospatial burned area perimeters based on satellite imagery for 233 Nomenclature of Territorial Units for Statistics (NUTS) 3 level regions in Portugal, Spain, Italy, and Greece. Our panel fixed effects instrumental variable estimation results suggest an average contemporary decrease in a region’s annual GDP growth rate of 0.11–0.18% conditional on having experienced at least one wildfire. For an average wildfire season this leads to a yearly production loss of 13–21 billion euros for Southern Europe. The impact on the employment growth rate is heterogeneous across economic activity types in that there is a decrease in the average annual employment growth rate for activities related to retail and tourism (e.g., transport, accommodation, food service activities) of 0.09–0.15%, offset by employment growth in insurance, real estate, administrative, and support service related activities of 0.13–0.22%.

Item Type:

Journal Article (Original Article)

Division/Institute:

03 Faculty of Business, Economics and Social Sciences > Department of Economics
10 Strategic Research Centers > Oeschger Centre for Climate Change Research (OCCR)

UniBE Contributor:

Strobl, Eric Albert

Subjects:

300 Social sciences, sociology & anthropology > 330 Economics

ISSN:

0095-0696

Publisher:

Elsevier

Language:

English

Submitter:

Julia Alexandra Schlosser

Date Deposited:

18 Dec 2023 08:41

Last Modified:

14 Jan 2024 02:42

Publisher DOI:

10.1016/j.jeem.2023.102787

BORIS DOI:

10.48350/190038

URI:

https://boris.unibe.ch/id/eprint/190038

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