Monitoring the temporal development of natural hazard risks as a basis indicator for climate change adaptation.

Zischg, Andreas Paul; Schober, Stephan; Sereinig, N.; Rauter, M.; Seymann, C.; Goldschmidt, F.; Bäk, R.; Schleicher, E. (2013). Monitoring the temporal development of natural hazard risks as a basis indicator for climate change adaptation. Natural Hazards, 67(3), pp. 1045-1058. Springer 10.1007/s11069-011-9927-0

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The potential effects of climatic changes on natural risks are widely discussed. But the formulation of strategies for adapting risk management practice to climate changes requires knowledge of the related risks for people and economic values. The main goals of this work were (1) the development of a method for analysing and comparing risks induced by different natural hazard types, (2) highlighting the most relevant natural hazard processes and related damages, (3) the development of an information system for the monitoring of the temporal development of natural hazard risk and (4) the visualisation of the resulting information for the wider public. A comparative exposure analysis provides the basis for pointing out the hot spots of natural hazard risks in the province of Carinthia, Austria. An analysis of flood risks in all municipalities provides the basis for setting the priorities in the planning of flood protection measures. The methods form the basis for a monitoring system that periodically observes the temporal development of natural hazard risks. This makes it possible firstly to identify situations in which natural hazard risks are rising and secondly to differentiate between the most relevant factors responsible for the increasing risks. The factors that most influence the natural risks could be made evident.

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