Bibliographic study showed improving statistical methodology of network meta-analyses published between 1999 and 2015.

Petropoulou, Maria; Nikolakopoulou, Adriani; Veroniki, Areti-Angeliki; Rios, Patricia; Vafaei, Afshin; Zarin, Wasifa; Giannatsi, Myrsini; Sullivan, Shannon; Tricco, Andrea C; Chaimani, Anna; Egger, Matthias; Salanti, Georgia (2017). Bibliographic study showed improving statistical methodology of network meta-analyses published between 1999 and 2015. Journal of clinical epidemiology, 82, pp. 20-28. Elsevier 10.1016/j.jclinepi.2016.11.002

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OBJECTIVE To assess the characteristics and core statistical methodology specific to network meta-analyses (NMAs) in clinical research articles. STUDY DESIGN AND SETTING We searched Medline, Embase and the Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews from inception until April 14, 2015 for NMAs of randomized controlled trials (RCTs) including at least four different interventions. Two reviewers independently screened potential studies, while data abstraction was performed by a single reviewer and verified by a second. RESULTS A total of 456 NMAs, which included a median (interquartile range) of 21 (13 to 40) studies and 7 (5 to 9) treatment nodes were assessed. A total of 125 NMAs (27%) were star networks; this proportion declined from 100% in 2005 to 19% in 2015 (p=0.01 by test of trend). An increasing number of NMAs discussed transitivity or inconsistency (0% in 2005, 86% in 2015, p<0.01) and 150 (45 %) and used appropriate methods to test for inconsistency (14% in 2006, 74% in 2015, p<0.01). Heterogeneity was explored in 256 NMAs (56%), with no change over time (p=0.10). All pairwise effects were reported in 234 NMAs (51%), with some increase over time (p=0.02). The hierarchy of treatments was presented in 195 NMAs (43%), the probability of being best was most commonly reported (137 NMAs, 70%) but use of SUCRA (surface under the cumulative ranking curves) increased steeply (0% in 2005, 33% in 2015, p<0.01). CONCLUSION Many NMAs published in the medical literature have significant limitations in both the conduct and reporting of the statistical analysis and numerical results. The situation has however improved in recent years, in particular with respect to the evaluation of the underlying assumptions, but considerable room for further improvements remains.

Item Type:

Journal Article (Original Article)

Division/Institute:

04 Faculty of Medicine > Pre-clinic Human Medicine > Institute of Social and Preventive Medicine
04 Faculty of Medicine > Medical Education > Institute of General Practice and Primary Care (BIHAM)

UniBE Contributor:

Nikolakopoulou, Adriani; Egger, Matthias and Salanti, Georgia

Subjects:

600 Technology > 610 Medicine & health
300 Social sciences, sociology & anthropology > 360 Social problems & social services

ISSN:

0895-4356

Publisher:

Elsevier

Language:

English

Submitter:

Doris Kopp Heim

Date Deposited:

22 Nov 2016 14:04

Last Modified:

16 Nov 2017 02:30

Publisher DOI:

10.1016/j.jclinepi.2016.11.002

PubMed ID:

27864068

Uncontrolled Keywords:

multiple interventions; meta-epidemiology; mixed-treatment comparisons; inconsistency; reporting

BORIS DOI:

10.7892/boris.90516

URI:

https://boris.unibe.ch/id/eprint/90516

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