The European debt crisis and fiscal reactions in Europe 2000-2014

Baldi, Guido; Staehr, Karsten (2016). The European debt crisis and fiscal reactions in Europe 2000-2014. International economics and economic policy, 13(2), pp. 297-317. Springer 10.1007/s10368-014-0309-4

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After the outbreak of the global financial crisis, some governments in the EU experienced serious fiscal problems, while others were less affected. This paper seeks to shed light on the divergent fiscal performance in the EU countries before and after the outbreak of the crisis. Fiscal reaction functions of the primary balance are estimated for different groups of EU countries using quarterly data for the pre-crisis period 2001–2008 and for the crisis period 2009–2014. The pre-crisis estimations reveal some differences in persistence and cyclical reaction between different groups of countries, but in most cases little feedback from the debt stock to the primary balance. The fiscal reaction functions of the countries that eventually developed fiscal problems do not stand out. The estimations on data from the crisis period show largely unchanged persistence and counter-cyclicality but much more feedback from the debt stock, and this applies both to the crisis countries and those less affected. In spite of large deficits and accumulation of debt, the underlying fiscal reaction has become more prudent after the outbreak of the European debt crisis.

Item Type:

Journal Article (Original Article)

Division/Institute:

03 Faculty of Business, Economics and Social Sciences > Department of Economics

UniBE Contributor:

Baldi, Guido

Subjects:

300 Social sciences, sociology & anthropology > 330 Economics

ISSN:

1612-4804

Publisher:

Springer

Language:

English

Submitter:

Eva Marina Zuberbühler

Date Deposited:

11 Jul 2017 12:03

Last Modified:

11 Jul 2017 12:03

Publisher DOI:

10.1007/s10368-014-0309-4

Additional Information:

JEL Classification: E61 E62 H62 H63

Uncontrolled Keywords:

Fiscal reaction function; global financial crisis; debt crisis; structural break

BORIS DOI:

10.7892/boris.96578

URI:

https://boris.unibe.ch/id/eprint/96578

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