Crime Watch: Hurricanes and Illegal Activities

Spencer, Nekeisha; Strobl, Eric (2019). Crime Watch: Hurricanes and Illegal Activities. Southern economic journal, 86(1), pp. 318-338. Wiley 10.1002/soej.12376

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We investigate the relationship between hurricane strikes and crime for Jamaica. To this end, we construct hurricane damages and daily recorded criminal activity. Hurricanes are found to significantly increase crime by 35%, where the impact is stronger for more damaging storms, but this only lasts for the duration of the storm. Decomposing crime into its various subtypes, one finds that while aggravated assault, break‐ins, and shooting increase during a hurricane, murders, rapes, and robberies actually decline. The greatest increase is with shootings, whereas the greatest decline is with rape. Crucially, the impact of crime depends on the existence of a storm warning. Our results also show that high frequency data more accurately estimate the impact of hurricanes on crime.

Item Type:

Journal Article (Original Article)

Division/Institute:

03 Faculty of Business, Economics and Social Sciences > Department of Economics
03 Faculty of Business, Economics and Social Sciences > Department of Economics > Institute of Economics > Public Economics

UniBE Contributor:

Strobl, Eric Albert

Subjects:

300 Social sciences, sociology & anthropology > 330 Economics

ISSN:

2325-8012

Publisher:

Wiley

Language:

English

Submitter:

Dino Collalti

Date Deposited:

06 Mar 2020 15:34

Last Modified:

05 Dec 2022 15:35

Publisher DOI:

10.1002/soej.12376

BORIS DOI:

10.7892/boris.138541

URI:

https://boris.unibe.ch/id/eprint/138541

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