Gong, Cheng; Tian, Hanqin; Liao, Hong; Pan, Naiqing; Pan, Shufen; Ito, Akihiko; Jain, Atul K; Kou-Giesbrecht, Sian; Joos, Fortunat; Sun, Qing; Shi, Hao; Vuichard, Nicolas; Zhu, Qing; Peng, Changhui; Maggi, Federico; Tang, Fiona H M; Zaehle, Sönke (2024). Global net climate effects of anthropogenic reactive nitrogen. Nature, 632(8025), pp. 557-563. Springer Nature 10.1038/s41586-024-07714-4
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Anthropogenic activities have substantially enhanced the loadings of reactive nitrogen (Nr) in the Earth system since pre-industrial times1,2, contributing to widespread eutrophication and air pollution3-6. Increased Nr can also influence global climate through a variety of effects on atmospheric and land processes but the cumulative net climate effect is yet to be unravelled. Here we show that anthropogenic Nr causes a net negative direct radiative forcing of -0.34 [-0.20, -0.50] W m-2 in the year 2019 relative to the year 1850. This net cooling effect is the result of increased aerosol loading, reduced methane lifetime and increased terrestrial carbon sequestration associated with increases in anthropogenic Nr, which are not offset by the warming effects of enhanced atmospheric nitrous oxide and ozone. Future predictions using three representative scenarios show that this cooling effect may be weakened primarily as a result of reduced aerosol loading and increased lifetime of methane, whereas in particular N2O-induced warming will probably continue to increase under all scenarios. Our results indicate that future reductions in anthropogenic Nr to achieve environmental protection goals need to be accompanied by enhanced efforts to reduce anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions to achieve climate change mitigation in line with the Paris Agreement.
Item Type: |
Journal Article (Original Article) |
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Division/Institute: |
08 Faculty of Science > Physics Institute > Climate and Environmental Physics 10 Strategic Research Centers > Oeschger Centre for Climate Change Research (OCCR) 08 Faculty of Science > Physics Institute |
UniBE Contributor: |
Joos, Fortunat, Sun, Qing |
Subjects: |
500 Science > 530 Physics |
ISSN: |
1476-4687 |
Publisher: |
Springer Nature |
Language: |
English |
Submitter: |
Pubmed Import |
Date Deposited: |
29 Jul 2024 14:00 |
Last Modified: |
16 Aug 2024 00:15 |
Publisher DOI: |
10.1038/s41586-024-07714-4 |
PubMed ID: |
39048828 |
BORIS DOI: |
10.48350/199312 |
URI: |
https://boris.unibe.ch/id/eprint/199312 |
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