Individual and population screening of varices needing treatment by a simple, safe and accurate test.

Ravaioli, Federico; Berger, Arthur; Farcau, Oana; Colecchia, Antonio; Stefanescu, Horia; Candillier, Camille; Nahon, Pierre; Bureau, Christophe; Ganne-Carriè, Nathalie; Berzigotti, Annalisa; de Ledinghen, Victor; Petta, Salvatore; Calès, Paul (2023). Individual and population screening of varices needing treatment by a simple, safe and accurate test. Clinics and research in hepatology and gastroenterology, 47(5), p. 102123. Elsevier Masson 10.1016/j.clinre.2023.102123

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BACKGROUND

Several tests have been developed to screen VNT in different screening settings. We aimed to develop simple estimators to quantify VNT risk and spare endoscopy while missing <5% of VNT, adapted to different screenings in the main etiologies.

METHODS

2,368 patients with chronic liver disease were included. The main VNT predictors were platelets, prothrombin index (PI) and LSM. Their interactions led to score construction, LIP: (LSM*45)/(PI*platelets), and BLIP: BMI-adjusted LIP in NAFLD. Scores were categorized either for population (VNT sensitivity ≥95%) or individual (negative predictive value ≥95%) VNT screening.

RESULTS

1) Scores diagnosing VNT. AUROCs were, PLER: 0.767 Anticipate: 0.773 (p=0.059 vs previous), LIP: 0.779 (p=0.136), PLEASE: 0.789 (p=0.196). 2) Population screening performance was in increasing order (with missed VNT rate), Baveno6 criteria: 23.9% (2.5%), Anticipate 24.5%, p=0.367 vs previous (3.3%), PLER 27.3%, p<0.001 (3.6%), LIP 33.4%, p<0.001 (4.2%), PLEASE 35.2%, p=0.006 (3.6%). In NAFLD, LIP 38.6%, BLIP 40.8%, p=0.038. 3) Individual screening performance was, expanded Baveno6 criteria: 42.7%, LIP 54.1%, p<0.001. In NAFLD, performance was, NAFLD-cirrhosis criteria: 66.7%, BLIP 74.6%, p<0.001.

CONCLUSION

LIP combined simplicity, performance and safety in each etiology. In NAFLD, BMI-adjusted LIP outperformed other tests.

Item Type:

Journal Article (Original Article)

Division/Institute:

04 Faculty of Medicine > Department of Gastro-intestinal, Liver and Lung Disorders (DMLL) > Clinic of Visceral Surgery and Medicine > Hepatology

UniBE Contributor:

Berzigotti, Annalisa

Subjects:

600 Technology > 610 Medicine & health

ISSN:

2210-741X

Publisher:

Elsevier Masson

Language:

English

Submitter:

Pubmed Import

Date Deposited:

17 Apr 2023 12:58

Last Modified:

15 Apr 2024 00:25

Publisher DOI:

10.1016/j.clinre.2023.102123

PubMed ID:

37061034

Uncontrolled Keywords:

Portal hypertension liver elastometry oesophageal varices platelets prothrombin time

BORIS DOI:

10.48350/181760

URI:

https://boris.unibe.ch/id/eprint/181760

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